On Thursday night in Atlanta, President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump will face off in the earliest presidential general-election debate in modern history — and with the race between them a pure toss-up, the stakes are high. The minute the cameras turn off, you’re sure to hear partisans and pundits alike anointing a “winner” and “loser” based on their judgment of each candidate’s performance.
But only one judge really matters here: the American people, and we can’t truly know who won the debate until we hear from them. That’s why 538 is once again partnering with Ipsos to poll the same likely voters both before and after the debate to see how — and whether — their views on the 2024 election change. Click here for the full results of the pre-debate poll.
The first presidential debate between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is fast approaching, and political analysts and voters alike are eagerly anticipating what promises to be a high-stakes showdown. With the country facing numerous challenges, from the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic to racial unrest and economic uncertainty, the outcome of this debate could have far-reaching implications for the future of the United States.
One potential outcome of the debate is that it could serve as a turning point in the election. Both candidates will have the opportunity to make their case to the American people and present their visions for the country’s future. Biden, the Democratic nominee, will likely focus on his plans to address the pandemic, rebuild the economy, and unite a divided nation. Trump, the Republican incumbent, will likely tout his record on the economy, national security, and law and order.
Another possible outcome is that the debate could further polarize an already deeply divided electorate. With tensions running high on both sides, it is possible that the debate could devolve into a mudslinging match, with personal attacks and insults overshadowing substantive policy discussions. This could turn off undecided voters and further entrench partisans on both sides.
Additionally, the debate could have a significant impact on voter turnout. With many Americans still undecided or disillusioned with both candidates, the debate could sway their opinions and motivate them to cast their ballots in November. On the other hand, a lackluster performance by either candidate could dampen enthusiasm and lead to lower turnout on Election Day.
Ultimately, the outcome of the first Biden-Trump debate is uncertain, but one thing is clear: it will be a pivotal moment in the 2020 presidential election. Voters will be looking for clarity, leadership, and a vision for a better future. The candidates’ performances will be closely scrutinized, and their ability to connect with voters and inspire confidence will be key to their success.
As the candidates prepare to take the stage, all eyes will be on them as they make their case to the American people. The stakes are high, and the outcome of this debate could shape the course of history for years to come. It is up to Biden and Trump to rise to the occasion and demonstrate why they deserve to lead the nation in these challenging times.
